We have identified two major strands of A.I. under development (and roll-out) now. Commercial/Economic A.I. and Strategic A.I. The differences between them are real, and complicate their governance. A governance regime must take these differences into consideration. Here is a brief comparison between the two.
Dimension | Commercial / Economic AI | Strategic AI |
Primary objective | Productivity, revenue, efficiency, innovation | National security, military advantage, strategic influence |
Main actors | Corporations, investors, consumers, regulators | States, militaries, intelligence agencies, defense contractors |
Principal risk | Economic and social externalities | Security escalation and strategic instability |
Governance problem | How to make markets innovative but accountable | How to make powerful systems controllable without creating strategic vulnerability |
Typical failure | AI causes discrimination, market concentration, job disruption, fraud | AI makes or accelerates consequential decisions involving conflict, deterrence, intelligence, or weapons |
Transparency | Often desirable | Often constrained by national security |
Competition | Generally encouraged | Can become a national-security imperative |
International coordination | Trade, standards, privacy, competition law | Arms control, strategic stability, international law |
Accountability | Regulators, courts, shareholders, consumers | Civilian governments, military command structures, international law |
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