We have identified two major strands of A.I. under development (and roll-out) now. Commercial/Economic A.I. and Strategic A.I. The differences between them are real, and complicate their governance. A governance regime must take these differences into consideration. Here is a brief comparison between the two.

Dimension

Commercial / Economic AI

Strategic AI

Primary objective

Productivity, revenue, efficiency, innovation

National security, military advantage, strategic influence

Main actors

Corporations, investors, consumers, regulators

States, militaries, intelligence agencies, defense contractors

Principal risk

Economic and social externalities

Security escalation and strategic instability

Governance problem

How to make markets innovative but accountable

How to make powerful systems controllable without creating strategic vulnerability

Typical failure

AI causes discrimination, market concentration, job disruption, fraud

AI makes or accelerates consequential decisions involving conflict, deterrence, intelligence, or weapons

Transparency

Often desirable

Often constrained by national security

Competition

Generally encouraged

Can become a national-security imperative

International coordination

Trade, standards, privacy, competition law

Arms control, strategic stability, international law

Accountability

Regulators, courts, shareholders, consumers

Civilian governments, military command structures, international law

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